Disney crowd calendar

How the levels are made

Each day's level comes from the posted waits at each park's headliners between 10 am and 5 pm, each against its own normal, so one ride closing doesn't skew the day. The past year's days are split into ten equally common levels: a 1 is as quiet as the quietest tenth of days, a 10 as busy as the busiest tenth.

Days ahead are predicted from the same weekday a year earlier, smoothed with the weeks either side. Holiday weeks like Thanksgiving, Easter and Presidents' Day are matched with last year's holiday rather than its date, and Christmas to New Year follows the date. The prediction is then scaled by how the last 4 weeks have run against last year. It doesn't yet know Disney's ticket prices, festivals or runDisney weekends, beyond what last year's matching days show. Wait times now.

• Disneyland Park: 365 days of waits from Oct 9, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, from Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance, Space Mountain, Indiana Jones™ Adventure, Tiana's Bayou Adventure, Haunted Mansion Holiday, Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin, Matterhorn Bobsleds, Mickey & Minnie's Runaway Railway. The last 4 weeks ran 17% quieter than a year before. Predicting the last 30 days from the year before, 40% were within one level.
• Disney California Adventure: 365 days of waits from Oct 9, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, from Radiator Springs Racers, Guardians of the Galaxy - Mission: BREAKOUT!, Toy Story Midway Mania!, Soarin’ Across America, WEB SLINGERS: A Spider-Man Adventure, Monsters, Inc. Mike & Sulley to the Rescue!, Goofy's Sky School, Incredicoaster. The last 4 weeks ran 14% quieter than a year before. Predicting the last 30 days from the year before, 57% were within one level.